English version Russian version The Russia Forum 2008 The Russia Forum 2009 The Russia Forum
Updated Speakers List
Photo Archive | The Russia Forum 2008
"Three Days Magazine" | The Russia Forum 2008
Forum Partners
Bloomberg Forbes Vesti BusinessFM BMW

The Russian equity market stayed relatively quiet mainly driven by international news flow

Global markets: Weekly overview

22 December 2008

The S&P 500 is poised to record its worst year since the Great Depression after losses and write-downs at the largest global financial companies reached almost $1tn and earnings at US companies dropped for five straight quarters, matching the longest streak on record.

This week, the US market received a boost on Tuesday when the Federal Reserve’s reduction of its benchmark rate to 0.0-0.25% and its plan to use "all available tools" to revive the economy caused the market to surge. However, the effect of the rate cut did not last long and the US market retreated on Wednesday and Thursday as poor corporate and economic news weighed on investors.

The dollar suffered its biggest weekly fall against the euro since the 15-nation currency’s 1999 debut and sank to a 13-year low versus the yen after the rate cut, before recovering a little at the end of the week. Meanwhile, ruble devaluation continues and its exchange rate against the bi-currency basket fell by another 3.0% on Monday and Tuesday.

Oil lost more than 20% or $10/bbl this week, despite OPEC’s plan to cut production. The organization stated on Thursday that it would cut output by 2.5m bpd to 24.8m bpd.

The Russian equity market stayed relatively quiet, trading largely sideways. The market was mainly driven by international news flow. Stocks went down on Thursday and Friday, under pressure from sinking oil prices. The RTS Index managed to close the week relatively flat, losing less than 2%.

It became known on Thursday that domestic natural gas prices will rise more slowly than expected as the government seeks to soften the effects of the country’s worst economic crisis in a decade. Gas prices for households will rise 5% on January 1, down from a planned 25% increase.

Source: Troika Dialog

This research report is prepared by Troika Dialog or its affiliate and provides general information only. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a recommendation, an offer or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or other investment or any options, futures or derivatives related to such securities or investments. It is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities, other investment or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.

Investors should note that income from such securities or other investments, if any, may fluctuate and that price or value of such securities and investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Any information relating to the tax status of financial instruments discussed herein is not intended to provide tax advice or to be used by anyone to provide tax advice. Investors are urged to seek tax advice based on their particular circumstances from an independent tax professional.

Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investment mentioned in this report. In addition, investors in securities such as ADRs or GDRs, whose values are influenced by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk.

The information contained herein has been obtained from, and any opinions herein are based upon, sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice.

From time to time, Troika Dialog or its affiliates or the principals or employees of its affiliates may have or have had positions or derivative positions in the securities or other instruments referred to herein or make or have made a market or otherwise act or have acted as principal in transactions in any of these securities or instruments or may provide or have provided investment banking or consulting services to or serve or have served as a director or a supervisory board member of a company being reported on herein.

Troika Dialog maintains strict internal policies, which are designed to manage any actual or potential conflicts of interest from harming the interests of investors.

Further information on the securities referred to herein may be obtained from Troika Dialog upon request.

This report may not be reproduced, copied nor extracts taken from it, without the express written consent of Troika Dialog.